Sunday, March 4, 2018

Get Out of the Water in Missouri: 2018 Oscars Precidtions

I think this is my tenth(!) year doing Oscar predictions on one website or another, and this is one of the more wide-open Best Picture races I can remember. The last time I can remember a true three-horse race was 2016—but even then, The Revenant was the clear favorite over eventual winner Spotlight and The Big Short. (I'm still glad The Revenant didn't win, but there were better choices than Spotlight.) This year, I suppose The Shape of Water is the frontrunner, but it does't seem to be as far ahead as The Revenant was—Three Billboards and Get Out are right on its heels. As of this writing (almost midnight on Friday), I don't know which film I'm going to predict for the big prize. I suppose I'll use this write-up to sort out my thoughts. As usual, I've seen all the major-category nominees, so in theory I should have a good handle on things—and, hey, I got 7/8 in those categories last year. (And I was damn happy to be wrong about Moonlight!) So, we'll start, as the ceremony usually does, with the supporting categories and go from there.

Gold = predicted winner

Best Supporting Actress
Mary J. Blige – Mudbound
Allison Janney – I, Tonya
Lesley Manville – Phantom Thread
Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water

SPOILER: My predictions in the acting categories are going to be pretty boring, as there are big favorites in each. That starts with Allison Janney here. She's won just about every precursor she's been up for and probably already has her speech prepared. She's great in I, Tonya—delightfully disdainful and terrifically trashy—but her closest challenger, Metcalf, gave a much better performance. I'll be hoping for an upset here, but won't be too bummed if (when) it doesn't happen.

My Non-Existent Vote: Metcalf

Best Supporting Actor
Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins – The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer – All the Money in the World
Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

There shouldn't be any surprises here—Sam Rockwell should come away with his first Oscar. I should be ecstatic about this possibility—Rockwell is legit one of my favorite actors—but I'll definitely feel a twinge of regret that Dafoe's superior performance in The Florida Project didn't take the gold. It's one of the best performances of the year and as important to its film as Mahershala Ali's was to Moonlight last year. (I suppose you could say the same for Rockwell and Billboards, but it's nowhere near as good a film as The Florida Project.)

My Non-Existent Vote: Dafoe

Best Actress
Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie – I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird
Meryl Streep – The Post

This is one of the easier calls of the night: Frances McDormand will win for Billboards. It'll be a much-deserved win, too, as her fiery, flawed Mildred Hayes is one of the best characters and performances of the year. Her speech will almost certainly be one of the more memorable of the night. It's just too bad we won't get to hear a speech from Sally Hawkins, whose character didn't have had a voice in The Shape of Water and who will be similarly silent on Oscar night in spite of giving the best lead actress performance of the year.

My Non-Existent Vote: Hawkins

Best Actor
Timothée Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread
Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out
Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour
Denzel Washington – Roman J. Israel, Esq.

This is the actual easiest call of the night in the major categories: Gary Oldman will take home his first Oscar for his blustering, blubbery portrayal of Winston Churchill in Darkest Hour. It's nowhere near his best work—hell, give me even Jim Gordon or Drexl Spivey any day—but I don't feel strongly enough about the other nominees to get too worked up about it. Chalamet is probably his closest competition, but upstarts don't usually fare to well in this category (unlike Actress), and I could imagine a universe where DDL wins for his (supposed) final film role, but either would be a monumental upset.

My Non-Existent Vote: Chalamet

Best Adapted Screenplay
James Ivory – Call Me by Your Name
Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber – The Disaster Artist
Scott Frank, James Mangold and Michael Green – Logan
Aaron Sorkin – Molly's Game
Virgil Williams and Dee Rees – Mudbound

We're 5-for-5 on easy calls: this should be James Ivory for CMBYN. It's easily the best script of the bunch, and giving the 89-year-old his first Oscar would be a helluva moment on Oscar night. If there was going to be an upset here (there won't), it would probably be Mudbound, although I certainly wouldn't mind if Logan were to get the call (it won't).

My Non-Existent Vote: Ivory

Best Original Screenplay
Emily V. Gordon and Kumail Nanjiani – The Big Sick
Jordan Peele – Get Out
Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird
Guillermo del Toro and Vanessa Taylor – The Shape of Water
Martin McDonagh – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Ah, finally a category with some, ahem, drama! Other than The Big Sick (which was great, by the way!), each of the nominees has a shot. Peele won the WGA, McDonagh won the Globe, del Toro is the Best Director frontrunner, and Greta Gerwig is Greta freaking Gerwig. This is a tough call, but the WGA is a more reliable precursor than the Globe, so I'm going with Jordan Peele here. Ozmataz Buckshank, Oscar Winner, has a great ring to it, don't you think?

My Non-Existent Vote: Peele

Best Director
Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk
Jordan Peele – Get Out
Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird
Paul Thomas Anderson – Phantom Thread
Guillermo del Toro – The Shape of Water

I don't really see an upset happening here—Guillermo del Toro will nab his first Oscar, making it 4 in 5 years for Mexican directors. (Where's your fucking wall, Donny??) I'd have voted for Peele, Nolan, or Gerwig over del Toro (PTA would've been a toss-up), but The Shape of Water landed in my top-10 for the year, so I'll be good with it if (when) he wins. And hopefully a win will give him the cachet/cash to actually make that At the Mountains of Madness adaptation.

My Non-Existent Vote: Peele

Best Picture
Call Me by Your Name
Darkest Hour
Get Out
Lady Bird
Phantom Thread
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

All right, I guess I have to make a prediction. I suppose I'll just get it out of the way and say I don't think Three Billboards is winning. I said it when it won the Globe and I'm saying it again now. It's a well-made film, full of great performances and memorable dialogue and some undeniably powerful moments... but it's also completely tone deaf to race in America and, probably more relevant to this particular conversation, missing a Best Director nomination. Just doesn't seem like a winner to me. So it comes down to Get Out and The Shape of Water. Water is the clear frontrunner, with DGA and PGA wins, plus it's the overall nominations leader—by far, with 13. Get Out doesn't have much in the way of precursors—no SAG, no Globe, no BAFTA (Billboards won all those). What it *does* have is the zeitgeist, much in the same way Moonlight had last year. So I guess the question is whether the Academy has truly changed after last year's Moonlight upset. I say... it hasn't (at least not for a "genre film"). Even though it's a movie where a chick literally fucks a fish-man, The Shape of Water also got 9 more nominations than Get Out, suggesting broader support. And the Academy isn't exactly known for timeliness. Am I preemptively girding myself against disappointment? Probably. But I'm betting against the Academy getting it right two years in a row. That said, if Get Out wins, we'll know there has been a true sea change in the Academy, which would be very exciting.

My Non-Existent Vote: Get Out

Now, let's knock out the rest of the categories quick-like...

Best Animated Film 
Coco – Lee Unkrich and Darla K. Anderson
What, you though Boss Baby would win? There's not an easier call on the board—Coco will win. And deservedly so—Pixar's latest is great, a visual feast and a good story to boot.
My Non-Existent Vote: Coco

Best Foreign Language Film
A Fantastic Woman – Sebastián Lelio
So say the internet prognosticators. I wouldn't know—I've only seen one nominee (The Square), which is better than most years (and more than last year). The Square was pretty good though.
My Non-Existent Vote: The Square

Best Documentary Feature
Faces Places – Agnès Varda, JR, and Rosalie Varda
A lot of outlets seem to be going with Icarus or here, but I'm going with the French master over the Netflix upstarts. Perhaps I'm a year late to the streaming takeover, but so be it.
My Non-Existent Vote: Abstain (have not seen any of the nominees)

Best Documentary Short
Edith+Eddie – Laura Checkoway and Thomas Lee Wright
Once again going with the internet sharps and against Netflix (Heroin(e)). This is the hill I'm going to die on, apparently.
My Non-Existent Vote: Abstain (have not seen any of the nominees)

Best Animated Short
LouDave Mullins and Dana Murray
I'm seeing a lot of support for Kobe's Dear Basketball online... and, really? I saw all of them and that was the clear worst. Lou wasn't great, but Pixar won last year for a worse film, so why not?
My Non-Existent Vote: Revolting Rhymes – Jakob Schuh and Jan Lachauer

Best Live Action Short
DeKalb ElementaryReed Van Dyk
This dramatization of a near school shooting seems to be the frontrunner, despite its heavy-handedness. Any of the rest would be a more worthy winner, especially My Nephew Emmett.
My Non-Existent Vote: My Nephew Emmett – Kevin Wilson Jr.

Best Score
Alexandre Desplat – The Shape of Water
If this doesn't win—and it's far from the best of the nominees—I'll feel a whole lost less confident about my Best Picture pick. My favorite was Burwell's, I guess, but Greenwood's was the best.
My Non-Existent Vote: Jonny Greenwood – Phantom Thread

Best Original Song
"Remember Me" – Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez (from Coco)
There seems to be some support for the Greatest Showman song, and it would be awesome if Sufjan was an Oscar winner, but it's tough to bet against songs from animated films... so I won't.
My Non-Existent Vote: "Mystery of Love" – Sufjan Stevens (from Call Me By Your Name)

Best Cinematography
Roger DeakinsBlade Runner 2049
My Non-Existent Vote: DEAKINS

Best Editing
Lee SmithDunkirk
Theres's lot of support for Baby Driver, which would be a great winner—Edgar Wright's movies are always immaculately edited. But Smith is a virtuoso who is overdue—and Dunkirk is a mastercourse.
My Non-Existent Vote: Smith

Best Production Design
Dennis Gassner and Alessandra QuerzolaBlade Runner 2049
Water is a real contender here, but Blade Runner was much more impressive, and I think it will stick out more to voters. (But a Water win here would mean very good things for its Picture chances.)
My Non-Existent Vote: Gassner and Querzola

Best Costume Design
Mark BridgesPhantom Thread
Gee, I wonder if the Best Picture nominee about making fancy clothes will win the category for Best Costume Design? (If an upset happens, it'll likely be The Shape of Water.)
My Non-Existent Vote: Bridges

Best Makeup And Hairstyling
Kazuhiro Tsuji, David Malinowski, and Lucy Sibbick – Darkest Hour
This is right up there with Coco for sure things—the sculptors of Oldman's Churchill jowls will take home the statue.
My Non-Existent Vote: Tsuji, Malinowski, and Sibbick

Best Sound Mixing
Mark Weingarten, Gregg Landaker, and Gary A. RizzoDunkirk
War movies always seem to do well in this category (Hacksaw Ridge won last year), and Rizzo and Weingarten are previous winners, so Dunkirk seems like a pretty safe bet.
My Non-Existent Vote: Weingarten, Landaker, and Rizzo

Best Sound Editing
Richard King and Alex GibsonDunkirk
I'm not going to try to overthink things—gonna pick one film for both sound categories and hopefully get at least one right. But Water and, especially, Baby Driver could easily spoil either category.
My Non-Existent Vote: King and Gibson

Best Visual Effects
Joe Letteri, Daniel Barrett, Dan Lemmon, and Joel WhistWar for the Planet of the Apes
Blade Runner 2049 is also very deserving (that threesome though), but the Apes crew has never won despite taking motion capture to the next level. They should win for the final entry in the trilogy.
My Non-Existent Vote: Letteri, Barrett, Lemmon, and Whist

I don't have a ton of confidence in a lot of these picks—I'd settle for 18/24 or so, as well as a second Oscar pool win in a row. And here's hoping Get Out can pull off the upset!

Thursday, February 22, 2018

Sunken Places and Sinking States: Films of 2017

 As I write this, the 2018 Oscar nominees were announced this morning. (It will likely be some time before I actually finish this post though, haha. *EDIT: It was almost exactly a month.*) Oscar nomination morning is one of my favorite days of the year—film nerd Christmas morning!—but it usually comes with some consternation. Genre films were snubbed! Too many Oscar-bait films! My favorite film wasn't recognized! This year was a bit different, however—Academy voters actually did a decent job, a quibble or two notwithstanding. (How did The Florida Project not get a Best Picture nomination?!) But just because I have fewer grievances with the actual Oscar nominations this year doesn't mean I don't think I can do better. So, for the third year in a row, I'm handing out fake awards for my favorite films, performances, scripts, and scores (new category!) of the year. We'll start, as the actual Oscars themselves usually do, with the supporting performances.

Gold = winner
* = nominated for a real Oscar

Best Supporting Actress
Laura Dern – Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Holly Hunter – The Big Sick
Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird*
Bria Vinaite – The Florida Project
Allison Williams – Get Out

I don't really have any issues with the actual Oscar field. Spencer is very good but her character isn't as integral to her film as the ones listed here, and Janney's/Manville's performances have similar but opposite issues—Janney's is too loud, while Manville's is too quiet. Tune Janney down and Manville up and they might have made the cut here. (I have not yet seen Blige in Mudbound.) If Elizabeth Marvel was given more to do in The Meyerowitz Stories, she might've also made the cut here, but her character was unfortunately vastly underwritten.
  • The lone holdover from the real-life Oscars is Metcalf, and I'll be rooting hard for her to win over Janney on Oscar night. Her embattled, embittered performance is one of the year's finest in any category—especially her emotional reckoning at the airport. Just wow. Also, a shoutout to one of the best parts of Roseanne.
  • Probably just missing out on a real Oscar nom was Hunter, who's a tour-de-force as a worried/wrathful mother in The Big Sick. Her rant at the comedy show is one of my favorite scenes of the year. Her snub is one of the other major quibbles I had with the real nominations.
  • Dern's big moment in The Last Jedi is another one of my favorite scenes—I remember my jaw actually dropping both times I saw it. She deftly combines traditionally masculine martial confidence with (also traditionally) feminine warmth and creates an instantly legendary Star Wars character.
  • Vinaite is so good in The Florida Project that it seems like they just plucked her out of one of those shitty motels and dropped her into the movie. (Not quite—but she was actually discovered on Instagram.) I had expected more real awards buzz for her, but nada except for a few film critic award nominations, which is a shame.
  • Also curiously lacking in awards consideration was Williams (unless you count Best Villain at the VMAs). Her role is doubly great, considering that her character is acting for 2/3 of the movie. The way she chameleons when she's revealed as a villain is astounding—everything from her eyes to her smile to her body language completely shifts in a split second. It's absolutely terrifying. (And that milk scene though. It gives me a fear boner.)
I very nearly went with Laura Dern for this category, but she has so much less screen time than the two it eventually came down to—Hunter and Metcalf. I still think Hunter's scene in the comedy club is the strongest scene of the two performances, but her character was slightly more ancillary to the movie than Laurie Metcalf's. She has a decent shot at a real Oscar too. I just wish it could have been the same debate on Oscar night.

Best Supporting Actor
Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project*
Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri*
Patrick Stewart – Logan
Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me by Your Name
Jason Sudeikis – Colossal

The top two contenders for the real Oscar also make the cut here. Jenkins and, especially, Harrelson are great in their films, but the three new contenders here had performances that stood out more to me. I haven's seen the always-excellent Plummer in Money yet, but I will rectify that soon. (Or maybe I'll just watch, I dunno, The Usual Suspects or K-Pax instead.) There were also several other excellent supporting actors that I considered here—Armie Hammer in CMBYN (see below), Michael Keaton in Spider-Man: Homecoming, Barry Keoghan in The Killing of a Sacred Deer, Bill mother fucking Camp in Molly's Game, Bill Nighy in Their Finest, etc., etc.
  • The Oscar race is looking like it'll be between Rockwell and Dafoe, and Rockwell has all the momentum in the world (zing!) right now. He's long been a favorite actor of mine (he was bomb Ninja Turtles, yo!), and he's very good in a very... tricky role in Billboards. I have several issues with the movie (which I still think is very good), but none of them are with Rockwell. I'll be quite happy if he comes away with the Oscar.
  • The same goes for Dafoe, who might have the most range of any actor working today, from transformative Day-Lewis-esque performances to batshit insane Nic Cagian caricatures. His role in Florida is definitely one of the former. It takes a special talent to be able to seamlessly blend in with a cast of mostly non-professional actors, and Dafoe pulls it off with deeply humanistic aplomb.
  • I was sure that either Armie Hammer (a near-miss here) or Stuhlbarg would score an Oscar nom for their oustanding work in CMBYN, but they must've canceled each other's votes out or something—I don't see why neither of them wouldn't get a nomination otherwise. Of the two, Stuhlbarg's work is more indelible. A perimeter presence throughout most of the film, he delivers the monologue of the year toward the end—a masterwork full of naturalistic parental warmth.
  • I saw Logan on its opening weekend and walked out of the theater thinking that Stewart had a shot at his first-ever Oscar nom. He actually got a little bit of a buzz, but it wasn't to be. He doesn't miss out here, however, for one of my favorite performances of the year. He takes a character he's played in a half-dozen movies and suffuses it with pathos and a sense of finality, ending his portrayal of Charles Xavier with a truly iconic performance.
  • The most surprising name on here is Sudeikis's for sure. But the former SNL funnyman and usual rom-com nice guy gave a uncannily chilling and gradually menacing turn in one of the year's strangest films, Colossal. It takes a good 40 minutes to an hour for you to realize he's the villain (at least for me, a straight male), but from that point on, he's utterly magnetic and frightening, a too-true portrait of toxic beta-masculinity. Give this man more villainous roles, please.
I went back and forth on Dafoe vs. Stewart quite a bit before I finally settled on Willem Dafoe. His performance didn't have the dementia-aided fireworks or beatific death scene like Stewart's, but he was the glue that held one of the best movies of the year together, a big-hearted moral compass who made a conversation with birds one of my favorite scenes of the year.

Best Actress
Jessica Chastain – Molly's Game
Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water*
Frances McDormand – Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri*
Haley Lu Richardson – Columbus
Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird*

This field is stacked, much better than the Best Actor field. Margot Robbie was a near-miss here, as was Jennifer Lawrence for mother!. (Whatever kind of cultural cachet the Razzies once had is now gone after they nominated her for a Razzie—and I'm generally not a huge J-Law fan.) Meryl Streep, like everyone, was fine in The Post, but she wasn't considered at all here. The two new entrants were far superior in my opinion.
  • Richardson was a new name for me this year. I first saw her in Split, where she gave a decent scream queen performance. But her name didn't really resonate for me until I saw her in Columbus, one of the year's quieter films. But her performance as a wannabe architect with a meth-addict mother is one of the most revelatory performances of the year, a work of unmitigated empathy and optimism. Sometimes, there's not much you can do but try to dance your pain away.
  • Chastain has been one of my favorite actresses since I first saw her in Take Shelter—which she should have been nominated for, but wasn't. And I still think she was robbed for Zero Dark Thirty in 2013. It's one of my favorite lead actress performances of the past few years. She's almost as good in Molly's Game, combining steely professional confidence and an internal brokenness all while keeping up with Aaron Sorkin's verbal pyrotechnics.
  • Somehow, Ronan, at 23, has had a longer film career than Chastain—Atonement was in 2007, the year before Chastain's first film role. She also has one more Oscar nomination—for Atonement, Brooklyn, and, now Lady Bird. (She was robbed for Hanna!) If she keeps this up, she might have more nominations than Streep before all is said and done. Although she probably doesn't have a chance on Oscar night, she'd be a more than deserving winner for Lady Bird, where she completely melts into the titular role, making you believe she's just an angsty high school senior rather than the jetsetting professional actress she's now been for over 10 years.
  • Her main competition on Oscar night will be Hawkins and McDormand, the latter of whom is the only previous winner on my list. Her work in Billboards is ferocious and inimitable, full of barely restrained invective and soul-shaking grief. It's impressive, impressive work and will probably net McDormand her second Oscar (the first being for a much different performance in Fargo). You won't hear any complaints from me if/when she wins.
  • The same goes for Hawkins (or Ronan, or even Robbie... any of the nominees but Streep really—and, I swear, I like Meryl Streep!). Hawkins' performance in The Shape of Water is the opposite of McDormand's in many ways: she's a mute, so she can't speak, and while she does have a well of resolve and anger, she conveys love and kindness through dextrous facial tics and expressive eyes. It's extraordinary work, and would likely get my vote if I were an Academy member...
...which obviously means that Sally Hawkins is my personal pick for Best Actress this year. You don't usually have to fuck a fish-man to win this award, but, hey, sometimes it helps. That she was able to do so and make it believable might be the acting achievement of the year. It might even be enough to win the film Best Picture—it could very well have been a disaster without someone like Hawkins in the lead role. Or, perhaps, she's the only person who could have played it?

Best Actor
Timothée Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name*
Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread*
Michael Fassbender – Alien: Covenant
Hugh Jackman – Logan
Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out*

Like Best Actress, three out of five of the real nominees also made my list. Of the two "snubs," Denzel was fine in the... less-than-fine (but still decent) Roman J. Israel, Esq., and, honestly, I didn't think much of Oldman's work in Darkest Hour. He's under so much makeup and prosthetics that you can't even tell it's him (which isn't acting), and he mostly blusters and bloviates with the same kind of scene-chewing intensity that he does in Luc Besson films—and he's better in those. Still, it'll be a deserving career-capping Oscar win, so I'm generally fine with it. He's just not winning *my* (fake) Oscar.
  • Unlike the other acting categories, I actually had a hard time filling out a field of five here. The top four (see below) were easy enough, but there weren't a lot of options for the fifth spot. I briefly considered James Franco in The Disaster Artist, but his performance is more of an impression, so that didn't last long. I nearly went with my boy Jimmy Macs (James McAvoy) for his impressive multi-character performance in Split (one of the underrated movies of 2017), but I eventually went with a different multi-character performance: Fassbender as the two androids, David and Walter. It's a great dual performance—he's both hero and villain, equal parts Data and Dr. Moreau, in one of the year's most misunderstood films.
  • The other usurper here is Jackman, who, like Fassbender, plays a character he's played before (and he also plays two different-but-identical characters). But Jackman has played Wolverine in nine(!) films now—and this one might be the best performance of his career. (The 2006 double-whammy of The Prestige and The Fountain are also up there.) That's because, unlike most of the previous X-movies (which is definitely also a porn site...), Wolvy is actually a human in this one. And not just because his powers are fading. It's because Logan isn't actually a superhero movie—it's a dramatic film that happens to be about superheroes, and Jackman makes the most of the opportunity to explore the humanity of these superpowered humans. I wish more superhero movies would follow Logan's lead.
  • The rest of the three nominees here landed much-deserved Oscar nominations. I was especially happy to see Kaluuya's name on Oscar nom morning—he's very young for a Best Actor nominee (28), he's, uh, black, and his performance is mostly reactive. The story mostly drives his performance, whereas most Best Actor nominees mostly drive the stories of their films. But Get Out allows Kaluuya to embody the genial wariness that most black people probably experience day-to-day—and he's even better when he gets to drop the pretense at the end of the film. I can't wait to see what he does next. (Sicario sidequel?)
  • Chalamet is even younger than Kaluuya at 22, and is, surprisingly, not French, which I definitely thought he was after seeing him in Lady Bird. Speaking of which, I was generally unimpressed with his performance as a pseudo-intellectual poser in that film and was prepared to be underwhelmed in CMBYN. I couldn't have been more wrong, although the languid pacing of the film doesn't allow him to really shine until the second half of the film. And in what is probably a film first, his best acting might actually occur over the end credits. I'll be hoping either him or the guy below can pull off the upset against Oldman on Oscar night. Wouldn't that be peachy?
  • Can Day-Lewis win a record-setting (for men) or record-tying (for either gender) at what might be his final Oscars? If he pulls off the upset, it would certainly be deserving (even though his win in 2012 for Lincoln came at the expense of Joaquin Phoenix's superior performance in The Master—although he was robbed for Gangs of New York, so I guess it all evens out?). His work as Reynolds Woodcock—perhaps the character name of the year—is one of the best performances of the year, a precise, pained paean to the oft-clichéd tortured genius. The genius of his performance, like Chalamet's, isn't necessarily apparent until close to the end, when the film's—and Woodcock's—true character is revealed. It's a performance, and a film, that demands a second viewing, which I eagerly anticipate.
Despite all the Oscar heavyweights here, I'm giving this award to Hugh Jackman, who had the hardest task by far—not only bringing a character to life, but breathing new life into a character most moviegoers know all too well. He could have easily coasted on his previous eight performances, but, instead, he turned in the best performance in any franchise movies since probably Heath Ledger. (R.I.P.) It's one I know I'll revisit many times. (And in black and white too!)

Best Score
Marco Beltrami – Logan
Nick Cave and Warren Ellis – Wind River
Dario Marianelli – Darkest Hour
Oneohtrix Point Never – Good Time
Benjamin Wallfisch and Hans Zimmer – Blade Runner 2049

This is the only category that doesn't overlap the real Oscar nominees. Carter Burwell's Three Billboards came closest, but there actually wasn't that much music in the movie, and one of the nominees below is the same type of score, just better. Desplat and Greenwood both did fine work for The Shape of Water and Phantom Thread, but those kinds of ornate, baroque scores don't typically do it for me. Zimmer is on here but for a different movie. And Williams always does good work on the Star Wars movies, but he basically gets a nomination just for showing up. Not here.
  • The most typical orchestral film score on this list is Marianelli's for Darkest Hour, which is about as Oscar-baity a movie as there comes. But Marianelli is the man behind one of my all-time favorite film scores, Atonement, and his latest collaboration with Joe Wright is another thing of beauty—alternately sweeping and mournful and, finally, as rousing as anything you'll hear this year. It'll make you want to leap out of your seat to fight Nazis (even if the film itself doesn't quite accomplish the same goal).
  • Beltrami's alternately spare and caustic score is the perfect complement to the emotional and physical grittiness of Logan. Forlorn piano undercut by discordant strings, bleeding into heavy guitar and howling harmonica, it sounds almost like a '70s Southern prog rock band founded by Clint Mansell. (If that makes any sense.) The score doesn't dictate the emotional beats of the movie (and there are plenty), but adds nuance to them, enhances them, sonic texture than manages to stand on its own.
  • Cave and Ellis's Wind River score, like the film, is one of the more underappreciated of the year. Treading similar aural territory as Burwell's Billboards score (twangy strings, tinkling keys, rustic moodiness), their work conjures up the frigid mountainsides, frozen plains, and claustrophobic interiors of the film's setting—a desolate and desperate tableau. It's haunting and deeply affecting work, maybe even better than their work on 2016's Hell or High Water.
  • Ever since Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross won the Oscar for their The Social Network score, there's been a growing trend of electronic musicians scoring TV shows and films. A couple great recent examples are Disasterpiece's phenomenal It Follows score and Kyle Dixon and Michael Stein of S U R V I V E's music for Stranger Things. Oneohtrix Point Never's score for Good Time is the latest example, and one of the best scores of the year. Urgent, hypnotic, and trippy—like the offspring of Cliff Martinez and Philip Glass on acid—it's as audacious and mold-breaking as the movie that spawned it.
  • The new Blade Runner was perhaps the most technically impressive film of the year: cinematography, set design, visual effects, sound—all of which it received Oscar nominees for. Missing out was Johannes BRAAAMS himself in Zimmer, whose ethereal-yet-foreboding score was much stronger than his work on Dunkirk in my book (er, blog). (And, besides, Marianelli did the better Dunkirk-related score.) The score suffuses every immaculately designed and shot scene with crystallized dread commingled with a strange sense of hope. It's a marvel to behold. I just wish I liked the writing and acting as much as the technical aspects. (I do intend to rewatch it soon though.)
This was really tough to pick, coming down to, perhaps surprisingly, Marianelli and Beltrami, the two most prototypical film scores. Even more surprisingly, I decided to go with Dario Marianelli for Darkest Hour, probably my least favorite of the Best Picture nominees. But the end credits piece, "We Shall Fight" is the film music that stuck in my head the most last year, especially the triumphant piano melody. Just fantastic work, even if I didn't love the sometimes maudlin movie as a whole.

Best Adapted Screenplay
Scott Frank, James Mangold, and Michael Green – Logan*
James Ivory – Call Me by Your Name*
Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber – The Disaster Artist*
Aaron Sorkin – Molly's Game*
Chase Palmer, Cary Fukunaga, and Gary Dauberman – It

Four out of five of the real Oscar nominees are in here as well, and I have't seen the fifth nominee (Mudbound), so it could turn out that I agree with all five nominees when I eventually see it. But overall, it wasn't a strong year for adapted screenplays. The various non-Logan superhero movies were good, but the scripts all had to follow the typical franchise formula. I considered Rian Johnson for The Last Jedi, but it also was beholden to franchise conventions (and is the middle film in the trilogy besides) and didn't really know what to do with its female lead. But I was able to find space for a movie I was surprised as much as I did to round out the field of 5.
  • That movie was It, the year's best (and only) coming-of-age horror summer blockbuster. It borrows liberally from other King adaptations (and spiritual adaptations like Stranger Things), yes, but it's effective in its own right, streamlining the overly complicated mythos behind Pennywise/It without sacrificing anything essential. Palmer, Fukunga, and Dauberman set up the scares well (especially the ones in broad daylight—hard to do) and elegantly sets the table for the sequel while allowing the movie to stand on its own. Solid, functional work overall. (Although I do wish it hadn't leaned so much on the "damsel in distress" cliché in the third act.)
  • I almost omitted Neustadter and Weber for their adaptation of The Disaster Artist for being too straightforward. The book uses two separate timelines—the events leading up to the making of The Room and the actual filming of The Room—while the film takes a simple chronological approach. And the film is a bit more gawky toward Tommy Wiseau than the book, going for easy laughs when a more psychoanalytical approach would've been more effective. (The book largely avoids both—easy laughs and psychoanalysis.) But in the end, the film has just the right balance of humor, pathos, and incredulousness that I included it here.
  • Sorkin's script for Molly's Game was another flawed contender, but its high points were more than enough to outweigh the one pretty terrible scene toward the end. (I won't spoil it here, but it's basically a pater ex machina.) But those high points are Sorkin very near the top of his game (this isn't *quite* Social Network level), from the opening voiceover to the Michael Cera's serpentine Player X to Idris Elba absolutely CRUSHING his one Sorkin monologue. But the pièce de résistance is the mid-film sequence featuring Bill Camp's unassuming entrance into and shockingly catastrophic exit from the titular poker game. It's one of my favorite sequences in any film this year.
  • I was ecstatic to see Frank, Mangold, and Green nominated for Logan on Oscar nom morning. It's the best superhero movie since The Dark Knight and the script is a big reason why. While Logan is still clearly a superhero movie—it's got all the usual action set pieces, superpowered rumbles, and nefarious government organizations—it's also very much a movie about family. The extended mid-film sequence at the Munson farm has some of the best writing in any film this year, contrasting the patched-together trio of Logan, Charles, and Laura to the close-knit Munson family. Things predictably go wrong, but what's unpredictable is how affecting it all is when the blood is finally shed—and who's. It's an uncompromising, unflinching movie all the way to the end credits.
  • Like I said above, you actually have to stay through the credits with Call Me by Your Name—and I'll be damned if that isn't right there in Ivory's script. That editless, wordless scene serves as the exclamation point (or perhaps ellipsis) to the best love story of the year. (And how great is it that the best love stories of the past couple years are all about gay romances?) Ivory's masterful adaptation of the gay literary touchstone pushes Elio and Oliver together and pulls them apart in a sensuous rhythm for close to ninety minutes before finally allowing them to meld as one. It's a masterclass in patience and restraint, full of breathtaking interludes and unforgettable moments—and, of course, capped by Stuhlbarg's sure-to-be legendary monologue. The adaptation is handled with such care that it almost feels like you're reading the dialogue as it's being spoken, it gets into your head that much.
This one almost went to Logan, but as good as the Munson sequence and the very end was, it just didn't pack the same emotional and literary punch as James Ivory's work on Call Me by Your Name, which gets the win here and is likely the Oscar frontrunner as well.

Best Original Screenplay
Sean Baker – The Florida Project
Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird*
Yorgos Lanthimos and Efthymis Filippou – The Killing of a Sacred Deer
Kumail Nanjiani and Emily V. Gordon – The Big Sick*
Jordan Peele – Get Out*

Two big Oscar contenders missed out here—Three Billboards and The Shape of Water. Neither of them really had a chance in this category for me. Billboards' script—set in the same state as Ferguson, for chrissakes—is absolutely tone deaf on race (to put it mildly), while Water's was just a little too... slight. (The strength of that movie is in the filmmaking and acting, not writing.) Other films considered were Colossal, Phantom Thread, Raw, and Ingrid Goes West. On to the nominees...
  • I have a feeling Baker's The Florida Project script missed out on a real Oscar nomination because of the film's natural, documentary-like feel and use of non-professional actors. It almost feels like the camera was just dropped in the middle of Kissimmee and picked up what it found. That's a shame, because the script's ability to to show both the rock-bottom desperation and never-dying hope of these motel residents is one of the true feats of screenwriting of the year. And that ending, my god (wordless, yes, but it still has to be written). There will be much more on this one below.
  • Also looked over by the Academy were Lanthimos and Filippou for Sacred Deer. It's not hard to figure out why—Sacred Deer is built on monotone line readings, stilted conversations, and a lethargic pace. Oh, and *SPOILERS* the ending features a blindfolded father murdering his son with a rifle. Not exactly Oscar fare. But it works. Like most Lanthimos films, it's uniquely weird yet undeniably compelling—and, in my eyes, his best yet.
  • Nanjiani and Gordon *did* thankfully earn an Oscar nom for the best romantic comedy since... I don't even know. Does Trainwreck count? Drinking Buddies? (Don't say Pitch Perfect.) Romantic comedy hasn't really been an Oscar-relevant genre since the '90s heydey of Ephron and Crowe (although The Artist and Silver Linings Playbook might count), but Nanjiani and Gordon bring a modern touch to the story of their love, touching on race, the healthcare debate, and even 9/11 (in one of the best scenes of the year—see the blurb on Holly Hunter above). Leave it to an interracial couple to make romcoms great again.
  • The coming-of-age movie has had better Oscar luck recently, with 20th Century Women, Inside Out, and Boyhood scoring noms in recent years. Gerwig continues that streak this year with the wonderful Lady Bird. Loosely based on her own adolescence in Sacramento, Lady Bird is a full-hearted exploration of mother-daughter relationships, burgeoning sexuality, high school politics, female friendship, finding your place in the world... yeah, it touches on a lot of themes. But it doesn't short-change any of them, and the clichés it does court are approached with earnestness and honesty. And, come on, any film that scores one of its biggest emotional beats to "Crash Into Me"—and totally pulls it off—deserves all the plaudits it gets.
  • One of the best things about this year's crop of Oscar nominees is that Tyroil Smoochie-Wallace is now an Oscar nominee (which I called, NBD)—and Peele might damn well win one or two. He might have his best shot in this category for what is *SPOILERS* easily the best screenwriting achievement of the year. Much has been made about the indeterminate genre of Get Out—is it a drama or comedy? A horror movie? A horror-comedy? A documentary? (For the record, I agree with the Golden Globes' decision to nominate it as a comedy—it's fucking hilarious.) However you want to categorize it, it doesn't matter—it's simply the sharpest social satire in a long time, replete with incisive observations and ingenious devices. It's also has an alternate ending that's might be even better than the nearly perfect theatrical ending. What a movie.
Obviously, Jordan Peele takes this category for Get Out, the best debut script in a long, long time. He's got a really good shot on Oscar night in a wide-open category. He's one of the nominees I'll be rooting for the hardest come March 4.

Best Director
Sean Baker – The Florida Project
Luca Guadagnino – Call Me by Your Name
James Mangold – Logan
Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk*
Jordan Peele – Get Out*

All three of the missing Oscar nominees were varying degrees of painful to leave off this list. I'm a huge PTA fan, and his last few movies are great, but a little... esoteric at times, Phantom Thread included. I loved The Shape of Water and how much it loves movies, but it's a fairy tale that's much more purely cinematic than actually dramatic, so I could live with not including del Toro. But Greta Gerwig. Man, it *kills* me to leave her off the list. I *loved* Lady Bird and thought she did a fantastic job on it. I just loved these films slightly more and thought their directors did just a bit better work. There were just a few too many familiar beats in Lady Bird, and the ending didn't *quite* land for me. But I'm raptly waiting for her next film. 
  • The final slot was between Gerwig and Guadagnino, and I felt that Guadagnino had the slightly defter touch from the director's chair. CMBYN had the warm, hazy feeling of a cherished memory and the deep emotionality of a vivid dream that you just woke up from. It's also a gorgeous movie, swathed in sunshine and pastels and bare flesh. (Granted that it's easier to film a gorgeous movie in Italy versus Sacramento.) And thanks to Guadagnino, it's the rare film that manages to be both sexy and emotionally resonant. This, combined with 2015's excellent A Bigger Splash makes me both want to dive backwards into his catalogue and look forward to his next film.
  • I also considered Rian Johnson here for his often-spectacular work on The Last Jedi. He was responsible for some of my favorite movie moments of the year (see below). But, again, the film is propped up by the built-in franchise girding and he doesn't handle Rey particularly well. Instead, I went with another director of a franchise film whose film broke away from the trappings of the genre—Mangold for Logan. I've already waxed plenty above about the thoughtful script, stellar performances from Stewart and Jackman, and the film-within-a-film at the Munson farm. So let me end by saying that the scene at the Oklahoma City casino is one of the most inventive, intense action scenes since Mad Max: Fury Road (and in a totally different way). Mangold gets the lion's share of the credit for the best superhero movie of the year in a year that featured several very good ones.
  • The other non-real-Oscar nominee in my field is Baker, who, given his trajectory from Tangerine to The Florida Project seems like a damn good bet to earn a nom with his next film. Should that happen, it'll be one film too late, since he was absolutely one of the five best directors of 2017. How else to explain how a film featuring predominantly non-professional actors—most of whom are children—and shot in the seediest, scummiest transient motels of the sinking state of Florida was one of the year's best? Baker's knack for finding the humanity and the hopefulness in the denizens of society's fringes—Armenian cab drivers, transgender prostitutes, welfare mothers, motel managers—combined with his almost whimsical aesthetic make anything he does worth watching. I'd normally be leery of a film about the opioid crisis as it's happening, but if Baker is directing it, I'm all in.
  • Memento, The Dark Knight, Inception, The mother fucking Prestige—it's hard to believe his nomination for Dunkirk is Nolan's first Oscar nomination for Best Director. It's richly deserved for his most accomplished, subtle work since the aforementioned Prestige (which is possibly his best work). Dunkirk takes the ingenious Russian-nesting-doll structure of Inception, strips it of the high-concept antics, and builds a gripping WWII drama around it. Watching each of the three timelines unfold on their own time signature and slowly—but inexorably—linking together in a pulse-pounding climax is one of the truly breathtaking cinematic achievements of 2017. Nolan will probably lose to del Toro on Oscar night, which would be a shame, if not quite on the level of one of the all-time Oscar snubs.
  • That leaves us with Peele for the year's breakout directing performance. The premise—a horror movie about a black man visiting his white girlfriend's parents for the first time—seemed more like an extended Key and Peele sketch than the zeitgeist-iest, most socially aware movie of the year. Just about every moment is note-perfect, from the Childish Gambino-scored opening to "I would've voted for Obama a third time if I could" to the Sunken Place to the two equally great endings. First films aren't usually this polished, this assured, this groundbreaking... not to mention this darkly hilarious, this tonally nimble, this cuttingly observant. But he totally crushed it. Smashed it. Smoshed it.
This was the toughest category of them all to pick. The final two contenders were Baker and Peele, who helmed my *SPOILERS* two favorite movies of the year. Peele actually beat out Baker for Original Screenplay above, which is exactly why I went with Sean Baker for this category. The strengths of Get Out come directly from the page, while The Florida Project comes to life on the screen—best embodied by the incredible ending, a clandestinely shot dash through the Magic Kingdom itself. It's magical, affirming, a little scary, a little sweet... in a word, perfect.

Best Picture
Call Me by Your Name*
The Florida Project
Get Out*
The Killing of a Sacred Deer
Lady Bird*
Molly's Game
The Shape of Water*
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

None of the other actual Best Picture nominees was particularly close here, but I enjoyed them all to varying degrees, from the bilious and deliberate Phantom Thread to the spectacularly flawed and sometimes actually spectacular Billboards to the spectacularly competent The Post to the severe and sentimental Darkest Hour. A few films that just missed the cutoff here were mother!, Spider-Man: Homecoming, and Thor: Ragnarok (I do love me some Marvel movies). As usual, I've gone with a full list of 10 to match my Letterboxd top films of 2017 list (rather than the 9 films that earned real Best Picture nominees). Here are my final thoughts on my favorite films of the year.
  • 10) Molly's Game – I flip-flopped between this and mother!, but wound up going with the film with the (slightly) stronger lead performance and less opaque story. (Although the cinematography in mother! might be the year's best.) Despite its daddy issues, Molly's Game is a story made for the big screen, and Sorkin brings it to life with his trademark machine gun approach to dialogue and a keen sense of tension, for drama and poker hands both.
  • 9) The Shape of Water – Guillermo del Toro's latest has found itself the frontrunner for Best Picture, which is never a thing I thought I'd say about a film in which a woman *SPOILERS* fucks a fish-man. But to me, neither the fish-man, nor Michael Shannon's forehead vein, nor even Sally Hawkins is the star of the show—instead, it's cinema itself. This is the most unlikely ode to classic films I can think of, but from the careful compositions, to the jaunty score, to the delightfully emotive acting, to the movie theater Sally Hawkins's character lives above, this is clearly a love letter to Old Hollywood. Which is probably why it will win the Oscar next month.
  • 8) The Killing of a Sacred Deer – This is easily the least-likely film on this list. I wasn't a huge fan of the previous two Lanthimos films I'd seen—Dogtooth (too deliberately "shocking") and The Lobster (great concept, but drab and kind of boring). I thought I was headed for another Lobster with the first half or so of Deer—wooden performances, stilted line-readings, a seemingly forced weirdness, an apathetic pace. But when the plot hinted at in the trailer kicked in, everything seemed to click for me. The character interactions started to make sense, the weirdness seemed justified, and the tension was cranked up so much I physically felt it in my seat. It wound up reminding me a lot of Cache, one of—if not my favorite—the best films of this century. It's not for everyone, and it's certainly not a very likable film, but I found myself admiring it more and more once I understood what Lanthimos was trying to do. It's also probably the film on this list I've thought the most about long after I saw it. It really stays with you.
  • 7) Lady Bird – Here's how much I like Greta Gerwig: I was super disappointed when I found out she was *only* directing Lady Bird and wasn't actually in it. (I mean, she couldn't have been a nun or the older sister of a friend or something?) But then, of course she's in the movie—in every line of dialogue, in every awkwardly genuine tic of Lady Bird, in every lovingly specific dig at Sacramento, in every music choice. It feels both incredibly personal and universal at the same time, which is hard to pull off. And even though the ending didn't *quite* work for me, it was also just ambiguous enough that it made the movie work as a quasi-prequel to Frances Ha (one of my actual favorite movies of this century), which made me appreciate Gerwig's achievements in that one all the more. It's not a Baumbach movie at all to me anymore—it's Gerwig's first feature. I can't wait to see what her third brings!
  • 6) Dunkirk – If anyone wanted to argue that the characters in Dunkirk are a weak point, I'll mostly agree. I don't remember a single thing about any of the characters in the beach plotline, or about the non-Tom Hardy pilot. But Hardy is probably the character people remember most about the film, and I call BS if you didn't find the Rylance storyline with his sons compelling. But, yeah, I generally agree the characters were a weak point. That said, this was one of the most technically impressive film of the year, maybe even more so than Blade Runner 2049 (which had even more flaws with its characters/story). Magnificent cinematography, tension-driving score, bombastic sound, meticulous editing, Dunkirk is big-budget filmmaking at its finest. Like here, it probably won't win any major awards come Oscar night, but it will be a major category in the techs.
  • 5) Logan – Yes, Logan is a superhero movie, and, yes, it's rated R. Those aren't the reasons it's so good though (although they don't hurt). Logan is a good movie because, simply, it's just that—a good movie. It's a surprisingly heartfelt story about the family you find when the one you were born into is gone, about the reckoning that comes after a lifetime of persecution and violence, about finally coming to peace with the choices you've made. That it just happens to be about people with healing factors, retractable claws, and/or telekinesis is just a bonus. Take those things away and, I'd contend, you'd still have a great movie. (That's because you'd likely have an old-school Western, but that's a point for a more in-depth write-up.) I hope we'll see plenty more superhero movies like Logan, but given the Marvel/DC box-office arms race, I doubt we will, unfortunately.
  • 4) Call Me by Your Name – It's easy to compare CMBYN to Moonlight, as they're both critically fawned-over gay romances that came out in back-to-back years. But I don't think the comparison is strictly accurate—Elio and Oliver didn't have to hide who they were nearly to the level Chiron and Kevin did for a number of reasons. (Race is a big one, as are geography and social class.) No, the better comparison for Elio and Oliver is another set of star-crossed white lovers: Jesse and Celine of the Before Sunrise trilogy. The European locale, the too-short time together, the vague hopefulness for the future despite knowing their time together was coming to an end... it just makes too much sense. Even Guadagnino himself realizes the similarities, teasing a Before Sunset–esque sequel a decade or so down the line. Elio visiting married father Oliver in America, neither never having gotten over the other? Watching their romance unfold on screen was one of the most purely joyful cinematic experiences of the year, so count me 100% in for revisiting it. (Although I hope it ends better than Before Midnight—great movie, but my god it was hard to watch.)
  • 3) Star Wars: The Last Jedi – The ranking of this one might come as a bit of a surprise, considering the lack of presence in the other categories above. It's even more surprising to me, considering that my fist viewing was at a sold-out 10:00 p.m. preview screening after more than a few barrel-aged beers with several buddies (one of whom fell asleep about 10 minutes in) and my review was "meh." But then I saw it again a few days later without the buzz or the snoring and the number of moments where I cheered silently or pumped my fist or cracked a huge grin or stared slack-jawed at the screen were more than I could count. (More than VIII, anyway.) Paige Tico's sacrifice, Rey's hall of mirrors, CANTO BIGHT, Holdo's last stand, the fight with Snoke's guards, Rose and Finn's kiss... I didn't realize how much they'd stuck with me after the first viewing, and how much I'd been anticipating them. I haven't seen it since, but I'm already looking forward to the next time I do. THAT is the mark of a great movie, and that it came as the *eighth* movie in a franchise is even more impressive. (I'm tempering my expectations for IX though.)
  • 2) Get Out – Although I'm (thankfully) no longer a dead-broke student, my preferred method of seeing movies is still the time-honored "pay-for-one-see-two" double feature. It's partly out of habit/tradition, and partly because I genuinely love spending 4-5 hours at a time in those darkened theaters. I say all this because 2017 was a damn good year for double features. I saw CMBYN and The Post on the same day, The Shape of Water and Darkest Hour and, impressively, Lady Bird and Thor: Ragnarok. (There was also Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets and Dunkirk, which was... interesting.) Great movie days, all. But none were better than the day I saw Logan and Get Out back-to-back. I walked out of Logan knowing I'd already seen one of the best movies of the year (this was in March), but I had no idea I was about to walk into an even better one. Get Out blew me away—it was inventive, it was important, it was impassioned. It didn't know what genre it wanted to be, but it didn't matter because it executed the best parts of each flawlessly and subverted every cliché it encountered. It's the movie I've talked the most about this year, and the one I hope will walk away with the real Best Picture in just over a week...
  • 1) The Florida Project – ...if only because, somehow, the Academy passed over the actual best picture of the year, The Florida Project. It's a small movie, to be sure (only a $2M budget and $7.5M box office), with only one "big" name attached (Dafoe's), but what it lacks in traditional prestige and major studio sheen, it more than make up for in pure, crackling vitality. The cast, the characters, the setting, the story, the filmmaking—everything about this movie just seems so raw and real and untouched by pretension or artifice. These kinds of cinematic experiences are so rare—Moonlight was one just last year, Boyhood a couple years before that. Say what you will about the Academy, but they usually at least nominate these films when they come along. They didn't this year for whatever reason, but I'm not making that same mistake. See it if you get a chance and I think you'll feel something similar to what I did. It's rare to see such a pure distillation of the human experience—life, beautiful, messy, difficult life—projected onto a screen, but that's just what Sean Baker accomplished with this film. See it, see it, see it.
And that concludes another several-thousand-words-long ramble about last year's films a couple months too late for most people to care. But it's earlier than last year (by three whole days!) and before the actual Oscars, so I'll count that as a win. As always, thanks for reading!

Monday, January 22, 2018

2018 Oscar Nominations Predictions

Unless some North Korean missiles come screaming over the Pacific, it looks like we'll have another Oscars this year. Not knowing if there would be a ceremony puts me in a somewhat interesting position this year. I'm fairly sure that I've already seen everything that will be nominated for Best Picture, which would be a first (meaning I'd have seen all the nominees before nomination morning). But I've also read significantly less punditry about the potential nominees this year. In years past, I've devoured pre-Oscar predictions from places like Grantland and FiveThirtyEight... but Grantland is no more and FiveThirtyEight doesn't seem to be doing Oscars coverage this year. All of which is to say I'm flying somewhat blind this year... but fortunately, this year seems fairly easy to predict. Will it be easier than last year, when I called 40/44 nominees (including 9/9 Best Picture nominees)? Probably not. But I'm going to try to beat last year's mark anyway. So, here we go! (Note: All nominees are listed in order of likelihood.)

* = haven't seen it
^ = early winner prediction

James Ivory – Call Me By Your Name^
Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber – The Disaster Artist
Dee Rees and Virgil Williams – Mudbound*
Aaron Sorkin – Molly's Game
David Scarpa – All the Money in the World*
Next in line:
Scott Frank, James Mangold, and Michael Green – Logan
Jack Thorne, Steve Conrad, and Stephen Chbosky – Wonder*
Andrew McCarten – Darkest Hour
Allan Heinberg – Wonder Woman
Rian Johnson – Star Wars: The Last Jedi

And, of course, we'll start with one of the categories I'm least sure of. At least, other than the top four, which should all be there on Tuesday morning. They're all WGA nominees, and it would be a monumental upset if any of them were to miss out. The fifth WGA nominee is actually Logan, but I don't think anyone would be surprised if a comic book movie (even a really good one) missed out on an Oscar nomination. While I'd love to see one of my favorite movies of 2017 get a nomination, I'm going to proceed under the assumption that it misses out. That leaves probably a dozen or so other contenders—I wouldn't be remotely surprised if a nominee I haven't listed here winds up in the Oscar field. I'm going with Money because it seems to be the most Oscar-friendly of the contenders (although Wonder and Darkest Hour also fit in that category). Wonder Woman is likely wishful thinking, but with the ever-evolving AMPAS membership, you never know. And if Jedi is going to get a nomination outside of the technical categories, this is its best bet.

Wishful thinking: Chase Palmer, Cary Fukunaga, and Gary Dauberman – It

Martin McDonagh – Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Jordan Peele – Get Out^
Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird
Guillermo del Toro – The Shape of Water
Emily V. Gordon and Kumail Nanjiani – The Big Sick
Next in line:
Steven Rogers – I. Tonya
Liz Hannah and Josh Singer – The Post
Paul Thomas Anderson – Phantom Thread

As someone who has a master's in screenwriting, this is always my favorite category. This is also traditionally a tough one to predict because the Academy will often throw a wild card in there. This year, however, the precursor awards make it somewhat unlikely there will be a usurper—the five I've listed above are four of the WGA nominees and the current Best Picture frontrunner. Due to guild rules, Billboards wasn't eligible for the WGA award. The fifth spot there went to Tonya. I suppose that could sneak in there over Sick, but Sick made a good chunk of change at the box office and did well with the critics, so I would be surprised (and disappointed) were it to miss out. Of the rest,
it's always tough to count out a Spielberg pic or PTA, but this is a pretty loaded category this year.

Wishful thinking: Nacho Vigalondo – Colossal

Allison Janney –  I, Tonya^
Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird
Mary J. Blige – Mudbound*
Holly Hunter – The Big Sick
Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water
Next in line:
Hong Chau – Downsizing*
Lesley Manville – Phantom Thread

This field seems pretty set. Janney is the frontrunner, Metcalf is her competition, Blige has received a lot of plaudits for a film I haven't (yet) seen, Hunter has been predicted to be nominated since her film came out, and Spencer is now an almost-automatic nomination. The wrench in the gear is the SAGs, which nominated Chau over Spencer. That gives me pause, but not much of one, as Alexander Payne's latest didn't make such critical noise. Still, it wouldn't be shocking if Chau's name was called on Tuesday. Manville's name would be more of a shock, but, again, it's tough to count out a PTA film.

Wishful thinking: Allison Williams – Get Out, Bria Vinaite – The Florida Project

Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards outside of Ebbing, Missouri^
Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project
Richard Jenkins – The Shape of Water
Woody Harrelson – Three Billboards outside of Ebbing, Missouri
Armie Hammer – Call Me by Your Name
Next in line:
Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me by Your Name
Christopher Plummer – All the Money in the World*
Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes
Patrick Stewart – Logan

And we've come to the toughest category of them all to pick. I only feel super confident in the first two—Rockwell and Dafoe will be nominated, and one of them will win it (likely Rockwell). Jenkins and Harrelson also figure to be there, as they're both also SAG nominees. The fifth slot is anyone's guess. (Oh, shit, I guess I'm the one guessing here, so I guess it's my, uh, guess.) I'd long assumed Stuhlbarg would be nominated, even before I saw CMBYN—he's a veteran and he's was supposed to be fantastic. (Spoiler: he was.) But it's a relatively small role, so it wouldn't surprise me if he missed out. I haven't seen Money, but it also wouldn't surprise me if AMPAS threw the ancient Plummer (a former winner for the excellent Beginners) what could be a final bone. I *have* seen Sexes, and Carell is fine, but I was very surprised to see that he was the fifth SAG nominee. Finally, I walked out of Logan on opening weekend saying Stewart's performance was Oscar-worthy, and there is a faint buzz around him still, but I think asking AMPAS to nominate a comic book character performance is a bit wishful thinking. That leaves us with, to me, the obvious choice for the fifth slot... which I think actually works against Hammer a little bit. He is superb opposite Chalamet, but he's almost cast too well as the strapping American love interest. But those dance moves, though. I really hope he gets the nom, but it could be any of the others.

Wishful thinking: Jason Sudeikis – Colossal, Bill Camp – Molly's Game, Colin Farrell – The Beguiled

Frances McDormand – Three Billboards outside of Ebbing, Missouri^
Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water
Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird
Margot Robbie –  I, Tonya
Meryl Streep – The Post
Next in line:
Jessica Chastain – Molly's Game
Judi Dench – Victoria & Adbul*

Like a chant at a Trump rally, only slightly different: LOCK. IT. IN. (What a stupid fucking world we live in, by the way.) I don't see this field shaking out any different on Tuesday morning. McDormand and Hawkins are the contenders, Ronan and Robie are the standard ingenues (and both are very, very good), and Streep is Streep. If you want to predict Chastain (who would be very deserving) or Dench (whose movie I haven't ever heard of outside of awards conversations) over Streep, be my guest. It's not a particularly comfortable couch though. And it's covered in dog hair. But yeah, this should be the Best Actress field.

Wishful thinking: Haley Lu Richardson – Columbus

Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour^
Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread
Timothée Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name
James Franco – The Disaster Artist
Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out
Next in line:
Denzel Washington – Roman J. Israel, Esq.*
Jake Gyllenhaal – Stronger*
Tom Hanks – The Post

This field also feels fairly set, although I can't shake the suspicion that there will be a surprise here on Tuesday morning. But even if that happens, it won't be at the expense of Oldman, Day-Lewis, or Chalamet. Oldman is by far the frontrunner at this point, close to a shoo-in for his first Oscar. (He wouldn't get my vote, but that's a rant for another post.) Day-Lewis should earn a nom for his supposed final film role, and if AMPAS doesn't go for Oldman on Oscar night, Chalamet would likely benefit. All three are safe. Less so are Franco, for obvious reasons, and Kaluuya, who simply isn't as big a name as the other contenders. Denzel is always a threat for a nomination, and Gyllenhaal's performance has been lauded in a movie I suspect most voters haven't seen. I'd say don't count Hanks out, but the Academy has passed him over before (and he was much better in Captain Phillips than The Post). But Franco and Kaluuya are both excellent in their films and would be deserving nominees, so I'll go with them for now, even if I feel like one of them ultimately misses out.

Wishful thinking: Hugh Jackman –Logan, Michael Fassbender – Alien: Covenant, James McAvoy – Split

Martin McDonagh – Three Billboards outside of Ebbing, Missouri^
Guillermo del Toro – The Shape of Water
Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk
Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird
Jordan Peele – Get Out
Next in line:
Luca Guadagnino – Call Me by Your Name
Steven Spielberg – The Post
Paul Thomas Anderson – Phantom Thread
Sean Baker – The Florida Project

Similar to the last category, it looks like the top three are in the clear, while questions remain about the final two spots. McDonagh is fresh off the Golden Globe win and looks like the best bet for his first directing Oscar (he actually won Live Action Short in 2005). Del Toro should also secure his first directing nomination (he was nominated for Original Screenplay and Foreign Language film for Pan's Labyrinth). And Nolan should finally get his, you guessed it, first directing nomination (having previously been nominated for Original Screenplay a couple times and Picture for Inception). For the final two spots, I'm also going with a couple first-time nominees in Gerwig and Peele. That's probably a fool's errand with Spielberg and PTA breathing down their necks, but I think Oscar voters will do the right thing and nominate the most deserving directors (especially, if not cynically, if it helps them look more diverse. Don't sleep on Guadagnino or Baker though—two up-and-comers who directed two of the best films of the year. This might be the category I check first bright and early on Tuesday.

Wishful thinking: Rian Johnson – Star Wars: The Last Jedi, James Mangold – Logan

Three Billboards outside of Ebbing, Missouri
Get Out^
The Shape of Water
Lady Bird
Call Me by Your Name
The Post
The Big Sick
The Florida Project
Next in line:
I, Tonya
Darkest Hour
Phantom Thread

I feel very confident about the top six, and pretty sure about The Post, but things are murky after that. Three Billboards is the erstwhile #1 contender, but it's in the midst of a pretty big backlash, which is why I don't think we'll hear its name called at the end of the night come ceremony time. Get Out is well made, timely, and a box office success—and it might even be more of a statement by the "new" Academy than Moonlight last year. Keep an eye on it in the coming weeks. Water and Dunkirk are something of darkhorse candidates, while Lady Bird and Name are surefire nominees with no chance at winning the thing. The Post would figure to get into the field on prestige alone (it's a fine film, but more competent than anything else). If any other films were to make it, Sick and Florida seem to have the best shot as a summer crowd-pleaser and indie darling. Tonya seems to be coming on strong as of late and is a definite possibility here, while Darkest Hour figures to be overshadowed by Dunkirk. Finally, I have a feeling Phantom Thread will get another major category nomination besides Day-Lewis, so don't be surprised if it pops up here. However the field rounds out, be prepared for a Billboards vs. Get Out race over the next six or so weeks.

Wishful thinking: Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Logan, The Killing of a Sacred Deer

Bonus round:

Category I'll Be Most Wrong About: Best Supporting Actor
Film I'll Be Most Wrong About: The Big Sick or I, Tonya
Film I'm Most Rooting For: The Florida Project and Logan

And I'm done with about 12 hours to spare... pretty good for me! (It's usually less than half that.) I can't wait to wake up early and see how I did. I've also still got my top 2017 movies post and real Oscars predictions posts to write, so keep an eye out for those. Soon, soon. Thanks for reading!

Saturday, December 23, 2017

Our Wild Year: My Favorite 2017 Albums

Continuing the trend from last year, it seems I've become just another statistic and am listening to less and less new music. Dammit, I hate it when science is right! I don't have my data yet (because I'm trying to complete this list before 2017 actually ends), but of this top 20, there are only two albums from artists I was not familiar with before 2017. I gave a lot of new artists the old college try, and I enjoyed albums by Greta Van Fleet, Charly Bliss, Sampha, Japanese Breakfast, and various Steven Hyden recommendations, but I found myself more gravitating toward new music from familiar artists rather than actively seeking out previously unknown artists. I'd like to say I'll try to seek out more new artists in 2018... but I doubt I actually will. Oh, and I hardly went to any concerts this year either. It's time to truly embrace being an Old, I suppose. But before I start yelling at everyone to get off my lawn, here are my favorite records from 2017, starting with some honorable mentions.

Honorable Mentions (in alphabetical order):
Chuck Prophet – Bobby Fuller Died for Your Sins
Cory Branan – Adios
Craig Finn – We All Want the Same Things
HAIM – Something to Tell You
Japandroids – Near to the Wild Heart of Life
Michelle Branch – Hopeless Romantic
New Found Glory – Makes Me Sick
Ryan Adams – Prisoner
Van Morrison – Roll with the Punches

10) The New Pornographers – Whiteout Conditions
Stars – There Is No Love in Fluorescent Light (tie)
Best Tracks: "High Ticket Attractions" and "This Is the World of the Theater" (New Pornographers); "Alone" and "Real Thing" (Stars)

I've always had a soft spot for Canadian indie rock bands, especially those with talented female vocalists (including and especially Metric and Emily Haines). No disrespect to Carl Newman or Torquil Campbell, but Neko Case and Amy Millan make both these bands, and both these records, that much better. For the Pornographers, Whiteout is probably their best record since 2005's Twin Cinema (still my favorite of theirs). It's equally stylish and idiosyncratic, with precise rhythms undergirding bouncy synth lines and jubilant vocals, as in "Attractions." Even better is "Theater," a mesmerizing showcase for Case's unique vocal talents and the highlight of the record. First hearing her voice soar over the chorus is one of the true thrilling music moments of 2017.

No less baroque but with perhaps a bit more flair for melodrama are Stars, who favor more lush arrangements and vocals, as evidenced on "Alone," a Campbell-centric lament of urban isolation. Stars has never exactly shied away from the occasional cliché—still, it's a powerful song and one of my favorites of the year. Ditto "Real Thing," an '80s synthpop ballad featuring Millan at her swoon-inducing best. (It's even got a kickass guitar solo to boot.) Each song shimmers like a little indie pop gem from the lovingly detailed production—there may not be any love in fluorescent light, but there definitely is under studio sheen.

9) The War on Drugs – A Deeper Understanding
Best Tracks: "Up All Night," "Holding On," "Strangest Thing," "Thinking of a Place"

When I write, I like to listen to film scores to try to get into the right headspace. Mansell, Murphy, Martinez, and Reznor/Ross are my favorites—atmospheric, entrancing, and largely free of the rigid structures of popular music. It's easy to let your mind drift to places it might not otherwise if distracted by hooky choruses and the jarring start-stop rhythm of traditional albums. I say all this because The War on Drugs puts me in the same mindset as a good film score. Not that it doesn't have lyrics or hooks or discrete tracks, but it has the same focus on mood and melody as a film score, and the songs often meander, expanding and contracting without the urgency of the typical four-minute verse/chorus/verse rock song. But this is very much a rock record—the influence of Pink Floyd is obvious, but there's also an element of early-'80s Dire Straits in the guitarwork and mid-'80s Moody Blues in the keyboard flourishes and vocals. (Congrats, by the way, on both bands for their Rock and Roll Hall of Fame inductions. The Rock Hall is very, very stupid, but I've loved both these bands since I was a kid, so it's still pretty cool.) But back to The War on Drugs. A Deeper Understanding doesn't quite have the killer-track high points as Lost in the Dream (those first two tracks though), but when Adam Granduciel and Co. catch a pop groove—like they do on "Up All Night" and "Holding On"—it makes you think these guys might make the Rock Hall one day. I don't go to many concerts these days, but if TWOD come to Phoenix anytime soon, I'll definitely buy a ticket.

8) Spoon – Hot Thoughts
Best Tracks: "Hot Thoughts," " Can I Sit Next to You," "Shotgun"

Like almost everyone, I first heard Spoon when "The Way We Get By" was on an episode of The O.C. They've been on my radar as a "like not love" band ever since—I'll generally check out their albums and dig a track or two, but they're more likely to make the honorable mentions list than crack the actual top 10. This year, it's different with Hot Thoughts—I was hooked from the first listen. The self-titled opening track swaggers and shimmies its way into your brain, making your foot tap and your head nod like a not-unwanted parasite. The record is full of similarly invasive earworms—the rhythms are tight, the grooves are grimy in the very best way, the choruses are slick as all hell, and there's just enough off-kilter weirdness to keep you on your (tapping) toes. The highlight is "Shotgun," a relentless, propulsive, sweat-tinged stomper that sounds like the kind of music Radiohead would be making if they remembered they were a rock 'n' roll band. Spoon seems like they're at the top of their game now, and it wouldn't surprise me at all if their next album ranked even higher on my year-end list.

(Two quick asides: 1) I *love* the first two seasons of The O.C. I stopped watching after season 2 and I think I made the right choice, from what I've heard. 2) The use of "The Underdog" in Spider-Man Homecoming was *perfect* and one of many excellent uses of rock songs in superhero movies this year.)

7) Jay Som – Everybody Works
Best Tracks: "The Bus Song," "1 Billion Dogs," "One More Time, Please," "Baybee"

Other than reaching my mid-30s, I think one of the main reasons for the lack of new artists on my year-end lists is Grantland shutting down. I miss a lot about Grantland (including the last readable Bill Simmons columns, Bill Barnwell's "Thank You for Not Coaching" columns, and their pop culture brackets), but the thing I might miss the most is Steven Hyden's "Songs of the Week" columns. Steven Hyden is my favorite music critic mostly because he is my spirit animal—he's also a schlubby-ish, bearded white dude raised on Tom Petty who seems somewhat exasperated but accepting of rock's ever-receding cache in the cultural marketplace. His columns (and now tweets) introduced me to Lydia Loveless, The War on Drugs, and the band that appears at #1 on this list... as well as this entry, Jay Som, aka Melina Duterte. Duterte is a one-woman wunderkind, writing, playing, and recording everything on the record herself. Everybody Works is shimmery, seductive, confessional lo-fi pop for people who live alone in apartments. Each word seems whispered directly into your ear, each note seems like its plucked from the other side of an empty bedroom. The album runs the gamut from uplifting ballads ("Bus") to rousing indie rock ("Dogs") to daydreamy synthpop ("Please," my personal favorite). It's intimate, yet accessible, and I'll eagerly be keeping an ear out for her next release.

6) Dave Hause – Bury Me in Philly
Best Tracks: "With You," "My Mistake," "The Mermaid," "Bury Me in Philly"

Dave Hause is the erstwhile lead singer for the short-lived (although not officially disbanded) Philadelphia-based punk band, The Loved Ones. The Loved Ones came up around the same time as fellow East Coasters The Gaslight Anthem, and I have very fond memories of listening to early albums from both bands as I puttered around my hometown after grad school before I got my first teaching job down in Phoenix. The Loved Ones haven't released an album since 2008's Build & Burn—a true hidden gem and one I still listen to to this day. And perhaps it's better that they haven't, given what happened to Gaslight... That said, frontman Hause's new record that sounds a lot like what I imagine a new Loved Ones record would sound like—humble, heartfelt punk rock with a mischievous streak. Humility is found in "Mermaid" ("Don’t wanna sing no flannel whiskey songs and try to make them art"), heart in spades throughout, and plenty of mischief in "Dirty Fucker" (the title says it all). I honestly didn't think this album would rank this high earlier in the year, but I found myself coming back to it time after time due to Hause's ceaseless cheerfulness—it's a feel-good record (musically if not entirely lyrically) in a year in desperate need of them.

5) Kendrick Lamar – DAMN.
Best Tracks: "DNA.," "LOYALTY.," "HUMBLE.," "DUCKWORTH"

Another year, another Kendrick album in my top 10—that's now 3 years in a row (and Good Kid, M.A.A.D City might have been my top album of 2012 if I had listened to it when it first came out). Of his four major releases, DAMN. is probably my third favorite, behind To Pimp a Butterfly and Good Kid but ahead of Untitled Unmastered. (I'm honestly not familiar enough with Section.80 or his mixtapes to offer an educated opinion.) DAMN. doesn't have the masterful storytelling and gripping narrative of Good Kid or the zeitgeist-seizing immediacy and powerful lyricism of Butterfly, but it is his most cohesive and confident record yet. The record harnesses his raw talent and channels all his rage, frustration, and confusion as he tries to reconcile his upbringing, race, and fame in the wake of last year's election. It's a tall order, and if DAMN. isn't quite as thematically focused as Butterfly, it's at least more sonically consistent, making it his most accessible record yet. That might bode well for his Grammy chances in 2018—can he finally win a major award outside the rap categories? Not even Kanye has pulled off that feat. The Grammys are ultimately meaningless as far as determining the quality or importance of music, but there's no denying winning a major Grammy would confer a modicum of mainstream prestige on Kendrick individually and rap music as a whole. While I certainly won't be watching the ceremony, I'll at least be checking my Twitter to see if Kendrick (or, okay, Childish Gambino) can finally break through.

4) Jason Isbell and the 400 Unit – The Nashville Sound
Best Tracks: "Cumberland Gap," "White Man's World," "If We Were Vampires," "Anxiety"

Like DAMN., Jason Isbell's new album somewhat obliquely addresses our current political landscape. While Kendrick samples the blithering blowhards on Fox News, Isbell writes about the people watching on the other side of the screen. Similar to his complicated relationship with country music, Isbell also seems conflicted about his race, equally excoriating and empathizing with the wide swath of the Venn diagram between country fans and Fox News consumers. "White Man's World" is an indictment of the "forgotten men and women" rhetoric of the Trump campaign ("There's no such thing as someone else's war / Your creature comforts aren't the only things worth fighting for"), while "Cumberland Gap" laments the fate of those same men and women ("There's a reason why I always reach for the harder stuff" and "So I cash my check and I drink 'til I'm on my ass again"), referencing both the war on coal and the opioid crisis. However, the album coalesces around the more universal theme of people struggling to get through the day, week, year on "Anxiety." The crescendoing guitars and Isbell's pained delivery of "I'm wide awake and I'm in pain" encapsulate 2017 about as well as anything released in this shitty, fucked-up year—a sentiment echoed on "Hope the High Road" ("Last year was a son of a bitch / For nearly everyone we know"). That's not to say the whole album is stuck in the quagmire of Trump's America—hope is offered in the form of a couple vintage country love songs. "Vampires" uses the idea of mythical immortality to remind us that this is just temporary ("It's knowing that this can't go on forever"), while the final track, "Something to Love," begins and ends with a beautiful, plainspoken appeal: "I hope you find something to love / Something to do when you feel like giving up / A song to sing or a tale to tell / Something to love, it'll serve you well." Here's hoping everyone has something or someone to love in 2018.

3) Paramore – After Laughter
Best Tracks: "Hard Times," "Rose-Colored Boy," "Fake Happy," "Pool," "Tell Me How"

Paramore's latest is a a loose concept album based around the feeling you get when you say, "Fine, thanks!" to a passing coworker when they ask how it's going. Nothing is fine, not in 2017, but it's easier to act like it is than to explicitly confront the fact that it's not. To that end, Hayley Williams couches her struggles with depression, anxiety, and pessimism in the glossiest, poppiest music of the band's career. "Hard Times" wraps its plunge to rock bottom in '80s-style MTV pop-rock, "Rose-Colored Boy" is the most cynical powerpop jingle you'll ever hear, and "Fake Happy" crystallizes the theme of the album in diamond-hard synth notes and prismatic production flourishes. At the center of it all is Williams, at her peak powers as a songwriter and vocalist. The material is a far cry from the cheerful pettiness of "Misery Business," and her range and pathos as a singer have never been stronger, both of which are on full display in album-closer "Tell Me How," a winsome, whisper-soft elegy on losing and loss. Her voice conveys that sense of loss directly to your heart, and it doesn't leave until long after the final, forlorn note of the song ends. It's the best song of the album and one of the very best of the year overall.

2) Brand New – Science Fiction
Best Tracks: "Waste," "Same Logic/Teeth," "137," "Out of Mana," "In the Water"

I'll just start with it: There's no way to discuss this album without mentioning the sexual misconduct allegations against lead singer Jesse Lacey. But I don't think I can discuss the best albums of 2017 without this album. Many mainstream music outlets feel differently. Even bringing up this trifling conundrum feels like a disservice to those affected by his actions, so I'll just say that I'm only discussing this album in the context of the artistic achievements of the band as a whole. That said, the first thing I think about when I think about this album isn't Lacey's lyrics or vocals, but Vincent Accardi's guitarwork—which is definitely a first for a Brand New album. Simply put, it's nothing short of virtuosic (keeping in mind that The War on Drugs also appears on this list), and is maybe the best guitarwork on an emo/punk record since Thrice's Vheissu (and there are shades of Teppei Teranishi's work on this album as well). Accardi deftly switches between styles and instruments between each song like six-stringed maestro. On "Waste," he creates waves upon waves of airiness and reverb; on "Same Logic/Teeth," it's all snarling riffage and mechanized wailing; "137" is a slow, lilting build to a nuclear apex; and "In the Water" is a post-levee-Zeppelin-esque epic that might be the best track on the album. The album as a whole is on par with Deja Entendu and The Devil and God Are Raging Inside Me as the band's best and will serve as a iconic, albeit complicated, final album for a band that's been one of my favorites for over a decade. I hope Lacey and, more importantly, those hurt by him—both directly and indirectly—can all heal from this.

1) The Menzingers – After the Party
Best Tracks: "Thick as Thieves," "Midwestern States," "Black Mass," "Your Wild Years," "After the Party"

If the rest of this top 5 are very 2017 albums in their own ways, my #1 album revolves around a different number altogether: 30. As in, "Where are we gonna go now that our twenties are over?" That line, from the chorus of opening track "Tellin' Lies," serves as the thesis to The Menzingers' After the Party, a punk concept album about growing up. Not the "Well, I guess this is growing up," the leaving your hometown or your first love, of "Dammit," but the settling down kind of growing up you do in your 30s. If your 20s are all about "always running like Dean and Sal" ("Lookers") and "stumbling home with the sun" ("The Bars"), then your 30s start to feel a lot like life "After the Party." Having turned 34 in 2017, I can relate to guitarist/vocalist Greg Barnett's feeling of being "not young enough to be a companion / not old enough to be a guide" ("Tellin' Lies" again) or seeing an ex with her "new husband and a baby on the way" ("Bad Catholics"). Mostly, though, I can relate to Barnett's musings in "Your Wild Years," which is my favorite song of 2017. In it, Barnett can't seem to escape from feeling like the alcoholic fuck-up he was in his 20s, paranoid that it's going to ruin the adult relationship he's found himself in: "I toss and turn at four in the morning / Petrified of where our future's going / ... / So I fix a drink nice and strong in the kitchen / Something quick that'll cure my conscience," and later, "I got drunk in the afternoon with your father in the living room." But he's trying to grow up, and maybe he's not gonna fuck this one up: "You smiled, know that I was trying the best that I can do." The song is kinda sad, kinda sweet, and perfectly captures a very specific emotion in under just 4 minutes. It was the song I listened to the most in 2017, and it'll always be the song I think of first when I think back to this year. Here's to growing up and not fucking things up.

Bonus: My 5 Favorite Songs of 2017 (in alphabetical order):
"Anxiety" – Jason Isbell and the 400 Unit
"One More Time, Please" – Jay Som
"Tell Me How" – Paramore
"This Is the World of the Theater" – The New Pornographers
"Your Wild Years" – The Menzingers

Thanks for reading! I'd love to hear about the albums and songs that helped get your through 2017. Here's hoping 2018 is better.