True Grit - Roger Deakins
Deakins is the man -- he needs a statue like Chaz Sheen needs blow. I could see any of the films winning this though. Black Swan was especially strong.
The Social Network - Kirk Baxter, Angus Wall
Has to be -- seems like half the movie was intercut, but never confusing. Bodes well for its Picture chances.
BEST ART DIRECTION
The King's Speech - Eve Stewart, Judy Farr
I guess. Seems to be between this and Alice in Wonderland, so I'll go with the prestige picture.
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
The King's Speech - Jenny Beavan
This award almost always goes to British period pieces. Although Colleen Atwood (basically the Jeanne McCarthy of costume designers) is definitely a contender. Could also see I Am Love winning.
The Wolfman - Rick Baker, Dave Elsey
At least it's not Norbit.
The Social Network - Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross
Because it would be badass to see Trent Reznor get an Oscar and be halfway to an EGOT. Inception (totally deserving as well) and The King's Speech figure to be contenders as well.
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Toy Story 3 - Randy Newman, "We Belong Together"
Don't even remember it from the film, but... HAHA, no Burlesque noms! I could also see the Tangled song winning.
BEST SOUND MIXING
Inception - Lora Hirschberg, Gary Rizzo, Ed Novick
For two reasons: 1) The name Gary Rizzo. Love it. 2) If I pick Inception for both sound awards, I'm bound to get one right.
BEST SOUND EDITING
Inception - Richard King
See above, except replace "Gary Rizzo" with "Dick King" and "love" with "LOVE".
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Inception - Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley, Pete Bebb, Paul J. Franklin
Has to be. Although HP7.1 was also impressive.
BEST ANIMATED FILM
Toy Story 3 - Lee Unkrich
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Biutiful - Alejandro González Iñárritu
Only one I saw. The Dutch one is supposed to be the favorite. But I can't stand the Dutch.
Restrepo - Tim Hetherington, Sebastian Junger
Never saw it. Or any of them. Heard this and Exit Through the Gift Shop were good.
BEST DOCUMENTARY, SHORT SUBJECTS
Poster Girl - Sara Nesson, Mitchell Block
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Day & Night - Teddy Newton
Actually saw all these. Didn't really like any of them. The Lost Thing was my favorite, and The Gruffalo was okay. I'm going with the Pixar one.
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
God of Love - Luke Matheny
Saw all of these too. They were all excellent. This was the best -- slick, funny, and touching.